Tuesday, April 1, 2014

March 30, 2014, No happy ending?, reflections and forward thoughts


Actually, the day after the day after but March 30 was a Sunday.  In most respects, no happy ending but in some, added information.  I’d first highlighted March 30, 2014 because that time period had an abnormal number of prior pivots that, using Spiral Calendar (SC) intervals, projected it as a very significant pivot.  Judging from yesterday’s “breakaway” (I use the term loosely) move up, it appears that date marks a significant bottom.  SC indicates pivots….not necessarily that they will be bottoms or tops or big or little.  So, I’m happy with SC. 
As the rabbit hole got deeper, I stretched for other indications that would color March 30, 2014 as a high or low and what magnitude of significance.  Most notably I came up with ending diagonal triangles in SPX and QQQs and a square of 9 (So9) calc that gave me a high on the diagonal cross for March 30, 2014 which was 144* from conjunct Sun/Moon.  That last calc, the So9, was quite an exclamation point for me and seemed quite credible.  I had visions of Gann’s summer of 1909 commodity call when wheat rocketed to his predicted level despite all odds.  Alas, we didn’t get a one-day 300+ rise in Nasdaq as would have been required to reach the So9 target $94.  In the day of the 2000 dot.com it happened but not in 2014.  As I’ll explain in a separate essay, price longitudes and plotting planets on the outer ring of the S09 appears to contradict Gann’s price longitude technique so either I’ve misread Patrick Mikula and others (likely) or plotting planets on the outer ring of the So9 doesn’t work (Gann wrong, unlikely).
Setting So9 issues aside, then, the two things that worked were SC defined what may be a significant bottom and the previously described proposed ending diagonal triangles (EDT) remained viable.  [Actually, the orginal SPX triangle was very short term and I've now identified in a manner similar to that of QQQs.]  The slightly larger of the ending diagonal triangles is in tech and spans more than 300 calendar days to date (pardon the non EW notation):

March 27, 2014 marked the exact reaction bottom which is close enough to the March 30, 2014 SC date (1 trading day).  Possibly premature, but it appears that date noted as point 4 of the EDT will be a good bottom to launch a final internal wave 5.  Based on other metrics (several SC pivots, a total solar eclipse on the 15th, etc.) I’ve drawn the final wave to end April 14, 2014.  Given the proposed EDT some interesting statistics regarding its wave structure emerge:

The calendar days in the above waves, combination of waves and total have some foundations in Sacred Geometry:

You can add a day or deduct a day and get ratios closer to Sacred Geometry metrics.  Notably, the first wave 33 CDs divided by the last wave 18 CDs would become the square root of 3 if the 18 CDs were extended to April 15, 2014. 

The other ‘success’ in the March 30 date was SC as mentioned above.  I will be writing about these dates in detail but for April I have preliminarily identified clusters of projected dates for QQQs as follows:
Again, preliminary, and based solely on historic QQQ pivots plus SC intervals to project dates.  I’ll later use DJIA and try to confirm the dates between the different pivot databases.
The particularly significant date of the above based on the work I’ve done so far is April 15-16 which has more a higher frequency of projections based on historic pivots.  In addition, the historic pivots giving rise to the April 15-16 pivot include several that were volatile market days.  Some were large SC intervals reaching back to 2000.  Finally, a total solar eclipse falls on April 15 along with the curse of taxes.  April 15-16 looks special at this time.

It might be interesting to note that April 14, 2014 (the EDT derived dated) is in the same time frame in which QQQs topped before the Flash Crash (topped April 25, 2010) and before the 2012 decline (topped April 3, 2012).  Hmmm, between April 25, 2010 and April 14, 2014 you have 1449 calendar days...only 9 days more than the 10th square of 12?  And between April 3, 2012 and April 14, 2014 you have 742 calendar days....13 days more than the 15th SC interval of 729 calendar days.
Jim

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