Wednesday, April 20, 2016

ENS 3: If you wanted to prove foresight...

We know what the "experts" do.  They tell you they can and sell you a newsletter or course.  Do they let you follow them around the NYSE trading floor (as if much trading actually occurs "on the floor" these days) and "audit" you in real time?

No, I'm aware of only WD Gann who did that in real time and as documented in "The Ticker Interview."  And he was successful, entering 286 trades in 25 trading days incurring a mere 22 losses.  Statistically, that is not possible.  I'll raise the stakes.  I believe, had he thought it prudent, he would have not incurred those losses...but that's me.  Why?  Read the preface to "The Magic Word" penned by Renato P. Alghini a noteworthy 37 years ago in October 1979:


Again, why?  Because a 100% win ratio would have been, personally, dangerous.

If, as Mr. Alghini offers, you want your achievement known, you bury the "treasure" on the "isle of long ago" to reprise yesterday's essay and Benjamin F. Taylor's "Isle of Long Ago" that appears on page 164 of Mr. Gann's "The Tunnel Thru the Air:"


Mr. Gann's motivation for buying his treasures in TTTTA, if he did, may have had a bit of pride in it. But, in my opinion, there is a far greater reason.  But that's for another essay at another time.

First we have to prove he did have the ability of foresight and then how.  Did Mr. Gann bury a 100% record in his "Isle of Long Ago," TTTTA?

I've gone a long way to proving foresight; dozens of instances beginning with 6th and 7th prophecies.  Because of my errors along the way, Mr. Gann's record appears less than what it might be.  Let's remedy the mistakes of the researcher by performing an objective test.  Either it works or it does not.

The test will follow this logic.  If I wanted to prove foresight to a later generation (because I would fear for my safety with that "100% win rate), I would bury a series of predictions to be discovered later.  If I really wanted to show off, I might predict the person who would uncover these 'treasures,' the date on which the realization would occur and the street on which he lives (the 7th Prophecy).  To tip everyone off, I might predict the greatest disaster of that later age with clues like a misspelled "Mammouth Building" in New York City that is 110-stories (the 6th Prophecy).  That's if I were smart like Mr. Gann.  The best I can do is to follow the bread crumbs.  And the trail of crumbs that has most attracted me in the recent weeks has been earthquakes.

Specifically, I'd bury a list of the greatest earthquakes of the MOT (WD Gann "Map of time") period of 168 years in that Isle of Long Ago...the now obscure book, TTTTA.

A first hint along the way is the telestically encoded acronym, "ens."  I located this abbreviation of the USGS "Earthquake Warning System" upon having haphazardly searched "Tokyo-J1," TTTTA's fictional Japanese mother ship.  And I found a Japanese radio station, the "J1," web page that provided Japan's earthquake warning system.  Similarly, the USGS has its "Earthquake Warning System" or "ENS."

Researching the telestic encodings of 'ens' in TTTTA I find exactly 21 instances.  I find zig zags and inverted spelling ("she"), etc, but exactly 21 instances of vertically aligned 'ens' such as this one:


The line numbers of all instances of "ens" is:
Through many excited tests, I've found that the dates on which "ens" markers occur do not correlate with earthquakes on that exact date.  Failure?  Yes and maybe not.

Back to the test.  What are the greatest earthquakes of the present MOT period; 168 years spanning from June 22, 1848 to June 21, 2016?  I'm going to interpret that as "deadliest."  If nothing else, Wikipedia provides good lists so I found the list of the 52 deadliest earthquakes known.  From it, I extracted every earthquake that has occurred after June 22, 1848.

Guess what?  Of the list of all-time (recorded time that is) deadliest earthquakes there are exactly 21 earthquakes on that list:


21 instances of "ens" and the 21 deadliest earthquakes in history since beginning of the present MOT.  Coincidence?

[NOTE 4/21/2016.  The above extraction of the 52 largest earthquakes is incorrect.  For earthquakes that were pre 1900, the dates may be wrong.  Excel does not interpret dates below 1/1/1900.  For example, the 342 Antioch earthquake occurred in 342 AD but Excel interprets the 342 as December 7, 1900.  Consequently, the 'serendipity' of 21 occurrences of 'ens' and 21 earthquakes is illusory.  There may be other defects in this essay as I continue to study each earthquake.] 

Did Mr. Gann bury his 100% win rate here?  Take the first item on the list, the July 28, 1976 Tangshan earthquake.


Interesting.  You can spell "Tangshan" using the acrostic/telestic letters that are highlight in green.

Take the most recent earthquake on the list, the 5th most dangerous earthquake, the January 12, 2010 Haiti earthquake and tsunami:


Again, you can spell "Haiti" using only the telestic letters (disregard my last name appearing in zig-zag, highlighted there for another ongoing project).

But theres' more.  In the Tangshan example, there are exactly 4 acrostics and 4 telestics arranged in an apparent symmetrical configuration on either side of the date.  

And there's more with Haiti as well.  All the letters are acrostic letters and symmetrically arranged as well.  The top most letter, 'T,' is exactly 16 lines from the line on which the date appears.  The bottom most letter 'i' is exactly 16 lines from the line on which the date appears.

That symmetry...it point to an exact day, does it not?  A prediction to the day?  [I think there are some nuances to how he was forced to arrange the symmetry and maintain a good narrative.  Haiti is off 2 lines from perfectly symmetric but the "T" appears on the exact line the earthquake occurred.]

That's 2 out of 21, leaving 19 earthquakes yet to evaluate.  That's the test and I haven't completed it as yet.  If may be he did not spell the earthquake names for those appearing before the date of TTTTA, 1927.  After all, those would not have been a prediction; they'd already occurred.  There are 10 earthquakes out of 21 that occurred before 1927.  Still, I'll check them all.

If Mr. Gann spelled the 11 post 1927 earthquakes adjacent to the dates of their occurrence, I'd say he demonstrated the 100% success rate; foresight. 

I left something hanging at the phrase "yes and maybe not."  The seeming un-correlated appearance of "ens" separated from any earthquake dates is troubling.  Perhaps finding the correlation is key to understanding the mathematics of prediction..."the curve of the future."  

But first, I have 19 observations to evaluate.  You can do it too...you can download the latest version of the MOT and do it, be it success or failure, in real time.  Prove all things to yourself and cling to that which is good.  Hmmm, that sounds familiar.

Jim Ross 






18 comments:

  1. Vindication/Validation imminent?

    http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-04-20/shaking-continues-most-dangerous-volcano-mexico-has-erupted-spectacular-fashion

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. In a prior life I would read Zerohedge unceasingly. They are some downright sharp people.

      That amateur seismic expert (contradictory but accurate) believes that earthquakes "vibrate" from west (as in far west) to east (as in the US). As they propagate eastward, you sense tectonic pressure building up where there AREN'T any earthquakes relieving the pressure.

      In recent weeks there's been 7+ quakes in India, Japan, Burma, Vanuatu that jumped the ocean to South America to the south and, of course, 6Ms in Alaska to the east and north.

      But the worst the central US has seen is the 4.9...yes, the one that occurred on the date I'd predicted would be calamity.

      Another parameter. When you see a Pacific Ocean earthquake, you expect to see one on the coast that is 1M greater. If you see an Pacific earthquake...be alert.

      And one last parameter. Volcanos and quakes are related. When you see dormant ranges of volcanos (yes, the mountains comprising the Rockies have dormant volcanos that seem to be awakening), becoming active....well, you again need to be alert.

      Now, about your time off. If you take more unauthorized time off I'm going have to dock your pay and put a notice in your file.

      Jim

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    2. I lack your unwaivering resolve and drive. Sometimes I need to disengage a bit and gather energy for another foray into the deep.
      However, even in these periods, I still follow with great interest.

      I accept my dock in pay and demerit with humility ;)

      Delete
  2. “Beware the new and full moons,” Berkland says in this exclusive interview. The “maverick geologist” says that 20 of the last 25 “megaquakes” have occurred on the dates of new and full moons, the result of “equinoctal tides,” extreme gravitational forces that cause solid earth to expand and contract much as ocean tides rise and fall.

    http://www.moongiant.com/moonphases/july/1976
    http://www.moongiant.com/moonphases/december/2004

    And currently
    http://www.moongiant.com/moonphases/April/2016

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes, I'd read that as well.

      I meant to add to your comment re Mexican volcano. Read up on the Jalisco 1932 earthquake. It took place from June 3, 1932 and culminated on June 22, 1932...one half a MOT period ago. And recall your comparison of the battle line from El Paso thru San Diego and up through Portland/Seattle. If that's the prediction it would mean a San Andreas 7-year event, supplemented by a 200-year Cascadia event.

      And then you might talk about the other battle line that included Chicago (which I know is where you live) and the misspelled "greaty City of Chicago." Might one drop the letters "at" to spell "grey?" As in volcanic ash?

      Please ignore me, I get carried away with imagination. As of now, I've proven nothing about my volcano thesis.

      I hope that beautiful young daughter is well and enjoying the turn in the weather,

      Jim

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    2. She is certainly enjoying the sunny (and ash free) skies. Hopefully that will be the case for the next century.

      Delete
    3. DM, you really need to ready the essay I posted today. It has me in the same state that I was in in February.

      Jim

      Delete
  3. http://latino.foxnews.com/latino/news/2016/04/19/guatemala-santiaguito-volcano-in-powerful-eruption/

    "Santiaguito volcano, in the western province of Quetzaltenango, erupted powerfully on Tuesday though no damages have been reported, Guatemalan authorities said."

    Steve

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi Steve,

      Thanks for the heads-up as always,

      Jim

      Delete
  4. El Chichon eruption implicated in Mayan upheaval

    http://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-36086096

    Somewhere around 540 AD connected to 1982 eruption. If you minus 542 from 1982 you get 1440. Notice that 144 there? Numbers, numbers, numbers.

    Steve

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Thanks again Steve.

      Ah yes, the numbers. Fearing a "Pi collapse" as in the movie Pi, I decided I'd divert my attention from numbers to a teacher that I believe knew the ORDER of numbers, WDG. Yes, it always bugs me when those special numbers pop up. Like in yesterday's essay when both 69 and 144 popped up according to the same calculation. I can't help but believe all things are connected by numbers and we only get these fleeting glimpses upon their chance emergence.

      Jim

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  5. Whomever:

    EDITORIAL NOTE. I try not to change essays much after publishing but there were errors I corrected in the above. When testing the "22 observations" I noted the 4th items was from the year 856, not 1903. Then, I went to my listing of "ens" and it had 21 items not 22. Offsetting errors. And then I looked at the 21 earthquakes and found there were 10 before 1927 and 11 after (actually 1 was in 1927).

    I fired my error checked (which there isn't one).

    I hope I won't find additional errors as I detail test each observation but, well, I know how that goes if you don't. Just wanted to be above board on research.

    Jim Ross

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Errr, make that 10 after May 9, 1927 (date of the Foreword) and 11 before.

      Jim

      Delete
  6. I ran the find function on Excel. Found 84 instances of the letter "V" at the beginning and ending of lines in the map.

    The ones I checked all showed my name, "Steve". Many included my last name as well.

    What are the odds?

    Steve

    ReplyDelete
  7. "v" is the only "rare" letter in you name, i.e. a search of s, t or e would be unlikely of turning up anything notable. How could the author construct a novel with only 84 lines out of 15341 beginning or ending in s, t or e (each is a a very popular/frequently used letter)? "v" would seem far easier to manipulate to create a message.

    Obviously, 84 is exactly half the MOT.

    As notable (or moreso to me), is the narrative you find on page 84.

    You might consider whether you have an inspired role in Mr. Gann's "project?" Presuming, on my part, there is such a "project" and not simply an exercise in the pursuit of the "23 enigma."

    Jim

    ReplyDelete
  8. I chose to search for "V" because it was a rare letter. So far I haven't found it used without my name being present.

    I have no doubt that he has something planned. Your name comes up in many of the places mine is found. BTW there are 95 "J"s in the codes. Another rare letter. And another number with significance.

    Steve

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    Replies
    1. The letter "J" is only listed in the G column. Not one single time was it in the H column.

      I find this very interesting.

      Steve

      Delete
    2. Many of the encodings appear only in the telestic column; ens and its inversion, sne, appear only as a telestic (40 items). Dee (as in John Dee) appears only as a telestic. There is a purpose there and I'm not sure (I have some thoughts) why he segregated messages this way. What I can say...it is not random.

      You really need to read the latest essay posted minutes ago. Its really bothered me. It puts me in the state that I was in back in February.

      Jim

      Delete

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